Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001332 0.001447 0.001570 0.001712 0.001873 0.002050 0.002261
2025-11-23 0.001194 0.001349 0.001525 0.001742 0.002004 0.002314 0.002714
2025-11-30 0.001090 0.001266 0.001473 0.001740 0.002078 0.002501 0.003082
2025-12-07 0.000995 0.001179 0.001402 0.001698 0.002089 0.002600 0.003340
2025-12-14 0.000927 0.001117 0.001354 0.001677 0.002118 0.002718 0.003629
2025-12-21 0.000862 0.001052 0.001295 0.001634 0.002110 0.002779 0.003840
2025-12-28 0.000781 0.000962 0.001195 0.001527 0.002003 0.002686 0.003802
2026-01-04 0.000724 0.000900 0.001130 0.001462 0.001947 0.002662 0.003865
2026-01-11 0.000689 0.000865 0.001097 0.001439 0.001950 0.002723 0.004071
2026-01-18 0.000662 0.000839 0.001076 0.001431 0.001972 0.002815 0.004338
2026-01-25 0.000727 0.000942 0.001240 0.001706 0.002455 0.003702 0.006188
2026-02-01 0.000684 0.000891 0.001181 0.001639 0.002385 0.003653 0.006248
2026-02-08 0.000646 0.000849 0.001139 0.001602 0.002376 0.003732 0.006636
2026-02-15 0.000629 0.000837 0.001138 0.001632 0.002483 0.004039 0.007593
2026-02-22 0.000605 0.000813 0.001118 0.001630 0.002534 0.004248 0.008389
2026-03-01 0.000575 0.000778 0.001080 0.001592 0.002516 0.004317 0.008866
2026-03-08 0.000551 0.000752 0.001053 0.001572 0.002529 0.004450 0.009551
2026-03-15 0.000525 0.000721 0.001017 0.001533 0.002500 0.004491 0.009996
2026-03-22 0.000489 0.000671 0.000949 0.001435 0.002352 0.004252 0.009577
2026-03-29 0.000462 0.000637 0.000904 0.001376 0.002273 0.004161 0.009584
2026-04-05 0.000445 0.000617 0.000882 0.001355 0.002268 0.004237 0.010131
2026-04-12 0.000433 0.000603 0.000868 0.001347 0.002289 0.004376 0.010928
2026-04-19 0.000470 0.000669 0.000991 0.001599 0.002881 0.006041 0.018212